Alabama A&M
W-L: (19-11) PR = 93.5411Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 45-84 1112 H UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 56-80 1117 H Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 43-66 1121 H Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 52-57 1128 H Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 49-72 1129 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 38-70 1210 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 44-82 1217 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 72-57 1220 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 58-72 101 H Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 72-74 103 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 72-49 108 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 69-59 110 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 76-34 119 A Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 50-41 122 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 68-41 124 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 81-63 129 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 49-44 131 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 63-50 205 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 54-50 207 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 56-54 212 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 82-54 214 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 95-55 219 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 57-37 221 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 55-43 228 A Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 51-43 303 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 55-50 305 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 64-61 311 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 72-68 313 H Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 49-51 319 H BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 47-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Ole Miss 45-84 -39 -4 0.00
1112 H UAB 56-80 -24 0 - -2.06
1117 H Alabama 43-66 -23 -4 0.00
1121 H Nevada 52-57 -5 0 - -2.32
1128 H Cincinnati 49-72 -23 -1 -0.80
1129 H Ball St 38-70 -32 -2 -0.41
1210 H Minnesota 44-82 -38 -4 0.00
1217 A No Alabama 72-57 15 0 1.87
1220 H Richmond 58-72 -14 -2 0.00
101 H Miss Val St 72-74 -2 2 -- -4.00
103 A AK-Pine Bl 72-49 23 1 0.95
108 A Jackson St 69-59 10 2 0.39
110 A Alcorn St 76-34 42 1 0.97
119 A Alabama St 50-41 9 1 1.13
122 A Prairie View 68-41 27 5 0.00
124 A TX Southern 81-63 18 3 0.00
129 A Beth-Cook 49-44 5 3 0.00
131 A Florida A&M 63-50 13 2 0.14
205 A Grambling St 54-50 4 2 0.45
207 A Southern 56-54 2 0 1.71
212 A AK-Pine Bl 82-54 28 1 0.95
214 A Miss Val St 95-55 40 2 0.00
219 A Florida A&M 57-37 20 2 0.14
221 A Beth-Cook 55-43 12 3 0.00
228 A Alabama St 51-43 8 1 1.13
303 A Grambling St 55-50 5 2 0.45
305 A Southern 64-61 3 0 1.71
311 A Florida A&M 72-68 4 2 0.14
313 H Southern 49-51 -2 0 - -2.31
319 H BYU 47-72 -25 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 101 H Miss Val St 72-74 -2 2 -- -4.00 1112 H UAB 56-80 -24 0 - -2.06 1121 H Nevada 52-57 -5 0 - -2.32 313 H Southern 49-51 -2 0 - -2.31 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 45-84 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 1.01 -1.43
3 H UAB (11-19, 93.5) 56-80 -6.41 4.55 -0.01 1.01 -3.25
3 H Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 43-66 -2.77 8.19 -0.01 1.01 -1.41
3 H Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 52-57 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 1.01 -3.38
3 H Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 49-72 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 1.01 -2.61
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 38-70 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.01 -2.41
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 44-82 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 1.01 -1.34
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 72-57 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.05
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 58-72 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 1.01 -2.01
3 H Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 72-74 -8.59 2.37 -0.01 1.01 -4.35
3 A AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 72-49 -7.42 3.54 0.01 1.01 7.18
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 69-59 -7.97 2.99 0.01 1.01 6.06
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 76-34 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.01 7.24
3 A Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 50-41 -7.24 3.72 0.01 1.01 7.54
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 68-41 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 81-63 -8.91 2.05 0.01 1.01 4.17
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 49-44 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.01 4.09
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 63-50 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.01 5.55
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 54-50 -7.92 3.04 0.01 1.01 6.18
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) 56-54 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.01 8.72
3 A AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 82-54 -7.42 3.54 0.01 1.01 7.18
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 95-55 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.01 4.82
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 57-37 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.01 5.55
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 55-43 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.01 4.09
3 A Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 51-43 -7.24 3.72 0.01 1.01 7.54
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 55-50 -7.92 3.04 0.01 1.01 6.18
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) 64-61 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.01 8.72
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 72-68 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.01 5.55
3 H Southern (18-14, 93.2) 49-51 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 1.01 -3.37
3 H BYU (24-12, 96.1) 47-72 -3.79 7.17 -0.01 1.01 -1.92
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89.96
|
winning pts = 117.4437 losing points = -27.4843
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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